DV-2025 September Cut-Offs – Final Visa Bulletin Analysis

The U.S. Department of State has released the August 2025 Visa Bulletin, establishing Diversity Visa (DV-2025) rank cut-offs for September 2025 interviews. Below we unpack the final numbers, highlight key processing trends, and compare them to our earlier forecasts.

Per the State Department, DV-2025 visa eligibility ends on September 30, 2025, so these final cut-offs are decisive for remaining applicants.

September 2025 DV Interview Cut-Offs by Region (Official)

DV selectees with case numbers below the figures shown are current for a September interview; those at or above are not, and any unissued visas after September 30 will be lost.

• Africa (AF): 58,500 (Exceptions: Algeria 54,500; Egypt 52,000; Morocco 40,500)
• Asia (AS): 14,500 (Exceptions: Iran 11,000; Nepal 14,450)
• Europe (EU): 23,000 (Exceptions: Russia 22,950; Uzbekistan 15,000)
• North America (Bahamas): Current
• Oceania (OC): 1,775
• South America & Caribbean (SA): 2,825

Example: An EU selectee with case 22,500 is current; 23,500 is not.

Source: U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin (August 2025)

Recent Trends: Cut-Off Movement (May → September 2025)

Movement has accelerated in most regions over the final months. Here’s the five-month progression of the cut-offs:

• Africa: 35,000 → 42,500 → 45,000 → 50,000 → 58,500
• Asia: 6,500 → 8,250 → 9,000 → 11,000 → 14,500
• Europe: 16,000 → 17,500 → 19,000 → 22,000 → 23,000
• Oceania: 1,550 → 1,550 → 1,650 → 1,700 → 1,775
• SA & Caribbean: 2,250 → 2,300 → 2,450 → 2,600 → 2,825

Chart 1: Cut-Off Progression (May–Sep 2025)

The line chart below visualises the month-to-month advance of rank cut-offs.

September Cut-Offs vs Predictions

Our earlier forecast anticipated near-full clearance in Africa and a significant jump in Asia, which largely held true. Africa’s cut-off jumped to 58,500, virtually clearing the region. Asia rose to 14,500 (driven by a big surge in Nepalian selectees), exceeding our 12,500 estimate. In contrast, Europe’s final cut-off of 23,000 fell short of our 26,000 projection. This likely reflects higher-than-expected issuance earlier and perhaps some pacing back in Europe to avoid over-allocating. The smaller regions also fell slightly below “current” (Oceania at 1,775, Caribbean at 2,825), though both should clear by year-end. These variations underscore that issuance pace, embassy capacity, and family size can shift the final outcomes.

Regional Case Summary

*“Highest Issued Case” = largest case number with at least one visa issued.

Overall DV-2025 Case Status Snapshot

Where the 130k-plus DV-2025 cases now stand:

• At NVC: 43,587 cases
• Issued: 34,177 cases
• Ready: 16,791 cases
• Refused: 2,628 cases
• Refused 221(g): 3,124 cases
• Administrative Processing: 253 cases
• In Transit: 50 cases
• Transferred: 81 cases

Observations & Advice for Selectees

• Africa: With the cut-off at 58,500, virtually all AF cases under this number will interview. Only those in the very high 50k range should be cautious in case of last-minute changes.
• Asia: Iran/Nepal caps bind at 11,000/14,450. If your case is below these, ensure your paperwork is finalised ASAP for scheduling.
• Europe: The cut-off stopped at 23,000. Selectees in the high 20k should maintain alternate plans, though the risk is now very low. Late surges are uncommon at this stage.
• Oceania: At 1,775, nearly current. If you’re under this number, expect an interview; any remaining may clear by the end of September.
• SA & Caribbean: Now at 2,825, essentially current. Selectees below should be prepared for interview notices imminently.
• North America (Bahamas): Remains current throughout.

September 2025 DV Interview Cut-Offs (Final)

• Africa: 58,500 (Algeria 54,500; Egypt 52,000; Morocco 40,500)
• Asia: 14,500 (Iran 11,000; Nepal 14,450)
• Europe: 23,000 (Russia 22,950; Uzbekistan 15,000)
• Oceania: 1,775
• SA & Caribbean: 2,825
• North America: Current

Interactive Charts

Chart 2: Visas Issued by Region

Chart 3: Issuance vs. DV Cut-Offs

Chart 4: Final September Cut-Offs

Final Thoughts

DV-2025 is now essentially complete. Africa and Asia have cleared, Europe has a modest final cutoff, and the smaller regions will clear by Sept 30. If your case is below these final cut-offs, watch your inbox for scheduling notices—2NLs can come quickly in this closing phase. Higher-case applicants, especially in Europe, should have fallback plans but can be cautiously optimistic. Late-cycle jumps are now unlikely given the Visa Bulletin limits. Remember that DV-2025 visas cannot be issued after September 30, 2025, so the clock is effectively expired.