DV-2025 July Cut-Offs: June 2025 Visa Bulletin Breakdown
The U.S. Department of State has released the June 2025 Visa Bulletin, which includes the Diversity Visa (DV-2025) cut-off numbers governing July 2025 interviews. In this post, we’ll summarize the official regional cut-off numbers for DV Lottery selectees, discuss how these numbers have changed in recent months, and explore why some regions – notably Europe – are seeing slower movement compared to past DV cycles. We’ll also provide data-driven insights into the causes (such as visa allocation limits, embassy backlogs, and refusal rates) and offer predictions for the August 2025 cut-offs by region. Finally, we conclude with tips for DV-2025 selectees as the fiscal year approaches its end.
July 2025 DV Interview Cut-Offs by Region (Official Numbers)
According to the June 2025 Visa Bulletin, the following DV-2025 lottery rank cut-offs apply for interviews scheduled in July 2025 (Fiscal Year 2025). Applicants with case numbers below these cut-offs are eligible for an interview in July, while those at or above these numbers must wait for a later bulletin:
- Africa (AF): 45,000 (Exceptions: Algeria 44,950; Egypt 40,000; Morocco 34,500)
- Asia (AS): 9,000 (Exceptions: Iran 8,950; Nepal 8,950)
- Europe (EU): 19,000 (Exceptions: Russia 18,950; Uzbekistan 12,000)
- North America: 20 (Bahamas only – remains current)
- Oceania (OC): 1,650
- South America & Caribbean (SA): 2,450
What this means: For example, an EU selectee with case number 18,500 is now current; 19,500 would not be. Africa leads with a 45k cutoff, while North America stays effectively current all year, and Oceania/SA approach their limits.
Recent Trends: How July Cut-Offs Changed from Previous Months
July’s numbers show modest advancement from the prior month’s bulletin, with some regions barely moving. The progression over May → June → July is:
- Africa (AF): 35,000 → 42,500 → 45,000
- Asia (AS): 6,500 → 8,250 → 9,000
- Europe (EU): 16,000 → 17,500 → 19,000
- Oceania (OC): 1,550 → 1,550 → 1,650
- South America & Caribbean (SA): 2,250 → 2,300 → 2,450
- North America (NA/Bahamas): 20 → 20 → 20
Chart: DV-2025 Regional Cut-Off Progression (May–July 2025)
This line chart illustrates how the official rank cut-offs have evolved over the past three months.
Comparison to Past DV Cycles
In DV-2024, Europe went current by September with a cutoff of 50,000 (except Uzbekistan at 17,000), and Africa also reached current status by mid-cycle. By contrast, DV-2025’s Europe sits at just 19,000 in July, indicating a more restrained progression this year.
Why Are Some Regions (Like Europe) Advancing Slower This Year?
- Oversubscription & Allocation Limits: Europe has over 28,000 selectees but only a 7% per-country cap (~3,600 visas), forcing separate cut-offs (Uzbekistan 12,000; Russia 18,950) and limiting overall EU movement.
- High Approval Rates: With ~96% approval, Europe sees few refusals, leaving less slack for upward cut-off jumps. Africa’s ~84% approval allows larger movements as unused visas reallocate.
- Processing Constraints: EU cases often interview in third-country posts (Warsaw, etc.), plus NVC backlogs capping monthly scheduling capacity.
- Smaller DV Pool: DV-2025 has ~52,000 visas available (down from 55k), requiring tighter cut-off management to prevent exhausting visas before September 30.
Regional Case Summary
| Region | Total Cases | Issued | Highest Issued Case | Total Refused | Total AP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 86,709 | 11,225 | 34,844 | 2,120 | 78 |
| AS | 29,918 | 3,835 | 6,342 | 1,195 | 20 |
| EU | 41,009 | 10,614 | 15,999 | 782 | 38 |
| OC | 3,805 | 586 | 1,542 | 169 | 6 |
| SA | 4,175 | 1,155 | 2,233 | 201 | 16 |
*”Highest Issued Case” = highest case number issued a visa.*
Case Status Breakdown
A quick view of overall DV-2025 processing:
- At NVC (Processing Center): 48,926 cases
- Issued: 27,418 cases
- Ready: 13,677 cases
- Refused: 1,603 cases
- Refused 221(g): 2,864 cases
- Administrative Processing (AP): 158 cases
- In Transit: 70 cases
- Transferred: 59 cases
Observations & Tips
- Africa: Big jump means nearly all numbers below 45k will soon interview.
- Asia: Steady rise; keep documents updated.
- Europe: Progress is cautious; full current likely not until September.
- Oceania: Expect modest increase to ~1,750 or current.
- South America & Caribbean: Nearing current at ~2,600.
- North America (Bahamas): Remains current at 20.
Tip: If your number is below your region’s current cutoff, stay ready—interview notice could come at any time!
August 2025 Cut-Off Predictions by Region
Only two bulletins remain before September 30. Here’s our outlook for August:
- Africa: Likely current or ~50,000–55,000 if still listing.
- Asia: ~11,000 (Iran/Nepal ~10,500).
- Europe: ~25,000 (Uzbekistan ~15,000; Russia ~24,500).
- Oceania: ~1,750 or current.
- South America & Caribbean: Current or ~2,600.
- North America (Bahamas): 20.
Interactive Charts & Trends
The charts below visualize issued visas, cut-offs, historical trends, and our predictions.
Chart 1: Visas Issued by Region
Chart 2: Issuance vs. DV Cut-Offs
Chart 3: Historical DV Cut-Off Trends (Oct 2024 – Jul 2025)
Chart 4: Unofficial July & August Predictions
Conclusion & Next Steps for DV-2025 Selectees
DV-2025 is in its final stretch. Africa and SA wrap up early; Asia moves under country caps; Europe needs a big August jump for high-number cases. If you’re below your region’s August projection, stay ready and watch for your 2NL. High-number Europe cases should have a Plan B. Stay informed, act quickly on notices, and best of luck in the final bulletins!
Disclaimer:
The information presented on this page is for informational purposes only and is not an official statement or representation by any government agency. The data displayed is derived from internal analysis and is not verified by any official or governmental source. We make no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. Users should independently verify any details before making decisions based on this data. By using this information, you agree that we are not liable for any errors or omissions and that it should not be relied upon as legal or official guidance.
Well explained thanks 👍 looking forward to win the lottery
Thank you for your analyse and prediction. In conclusion 2025AF609xx can have a chance in Togo Lome embassy ? Thank you
Jean,
Thanks for your question! Case number 2025AF609XX is definitely on the higher end. At this point, the U.S. Embassy in Lome has a backlog of about 272 cases waiting for interview, which could make it harder to schedule new interviews this late in the process.
Even if your number becomes current in August or September, getting an interview will depend a lot on how many slots are left and how quickly the embassy can move through the cases already in line. So while there’s still a chance, it does get tougher the later we get into the fiscal year.
I’d recommend staying ready, just in case we see a stronger-than-expected push in the next Visa Bulletin.
What does this mean in your final prediction summary above: “Asia moves under country caps”? My number is AS12***. Do you think I have a chance?
Stella,
Great question! When we say “Asia moves under country caps,” we’re referring to how the Diversity Visa (DV) program enforces a rule that no single country can receive more than 7% of the total global visa allocation.
For example, as of the July 2025 Visa Bulletin, the Asia region’s cutoff is 9,000, but both Iran and Nepal have separate cutoffs at 8,950. This indicates that these countries have reached their individual caps, and further advancements in the regional cutoff may not benefit applicants from these countries.
Now for your number, AS12XXX, you’re currently above the cutoff, but you’re in the possible range if the regional number continues to advance. Most projections suggest that with a strong final push, Asia could reach 12,000–13,000 by the end of the fiscal year. So yes, you still have a chance, though it’s tight and will depend on how the August bulletin moves and how much backlog embassies can process.
Stay ready, and let’s see how the next bulletin unfolds!
Hello, would you say there is a high probability for EU24XXX to become current before the end of fiscal year? How come the numbers are so low for this year in Europe when in the past decade the cut off has never been less than 25k? Would you predict a new low record this year? Thank you!
Ana,
Based on how DV-2025 has progressed so far, EU24XXX is within reach, though still a bit above the current cutoff of 19,000 (as of the July 2025 Visa Bulletin). With only two bulletins left (August and September), most forecasts suggest the final Europe cutoff may land somewhere between 23,000 and 25,000, so your number is in a possible, but not guaranteed, range.
As for why the numbers are so much lower this year, it comes down to extremely high case-number density in Europe for DV-2025. In past years, the same 1,000-case range may have contained fewer active cases due to gaps, refusals, or no-shows. This year, many of those gaps are filled, meaning more actual applicants per block of numbers. That slows monthly progress significantly.
While we can’t rule out a jump like we saw last year, current conditions suggest a more conservative outcome. So no, I wouldn’t predict a “new record low,” but this year will likely end well below the 30–50k range we’ve seen in some past cycles.
Fingers crossed for August, you’re right at the edge!
Enquiring for OC region case number 2025OC2583. With its current number progression is there a possibility of a big leap in August ?
Ron,
Historically, Oceania moves in relatively small increments, typically 100–150 numbers per month toward the end of the fiscal year. While a large jump in August is not impossible, it would be unusual based on past DV patterns.
For DV-2025, case number density in OC appears relatively high, and most projections suggest the final cutoff may reach around 2,400–2,500, depending on visa uptake and embassy capacity. So while OC2583 is close, it’s on the edge—not out of reach, but also not guaranteed.
If your DS-260 is processed and your number becomes current in August or September, there’s still a pathway to an interview. I’d recommend keeping documents ready and monitoring the August Visa Bulletin closely.
Hi , may I ask you a quick question?
My case number is AS11500. The visa in Thailand expires on August 31. Because of that, can my case number become current in August? Otherwise, even if it becomes current in September, will there still be green cards left? And will we still get an interview?
Hi! AS11500 is currently above the July cutoff for Asia (9,000), but there’s a realistic chance your number could become current in the August Visa Bulletin. Based on current pacing, most projections put the August Asia cutoff somewhere around 11,000–12,000. So AS11500 is not guaranteed, but within reach, you’re in the possible range.
If it doesn’t become current in August and only does in September, it’s still possible to get an interview, but time becomes very limited. DV-2025 ends September 30, and everything (interview, visa issuance) must be done before that date. If your local U.S. embassy has available capacity and your DS-260 is processed, you can still be scheduled in September, though it depends on how fast your number moves and embassy appointment slots.
So: AS11500 could realistically go current in August. If not, a September chance still exists, but it’ll be tight, not impossible. Keep an eye on the August bulletin, and make sure your case is fully ready in the meantime.
Hello, in the documentation procedures for the medical visit, we are asked if we have had surgery and documentation from the hospital. I had surgery 12 years ago in Turkey, I have contacted the hospital for some documentation to start me but without result. If you can inform me how the procedure is in this case, do they have a deadline for these surgeries that they require?
That would be great to know. I’m also looking for the same information. Do you know what time it was posted?
Alba & Iza,
No deadline, just report every surgery you’ve ever had.
Tell the panel doctor about the operation you had 12 years ago. Bring any medical records you can find, or at least a brief written summary along with proof that you attempted to obtain the hospital files.
Missing paperwork alone won’t hurt your DV medical exam, as long as you’re honest and healthy now.
I’ve written a blog post specifically on this topic because I believe it’s very important and can help others in your situation. For more information, please visit: https://www.dvlotteryusa.com/dv-lottery-medical-exam-missing-surgery-records/
Thank you 🙏
Samir,
Always here if you need anything!
Hello. My number is EU 29300 in the current situation. Is there a chance of it being cut in the last 2 months? I mean, last year it went from 30 thousand to 50 thousand. Was this planned? If EU announces 30 thousand, AOS will be made. I know that this number is impossible for a consulate appointment. But 30 thousand may be enough for you. Do you think 30 thousand?
Bora,
DV-2025 has a reduced worldwide quota, about 52,000 visas this year (down from 54,843), according to travel.state.gov. On top of that, Europe has much higher case number density this year, meaning each 1,000 case numbers includes more real, active applicants than in past years.
Most European embassies are also already operating near capacity, which leaves far fewer unused slots to redistribute at the end of the fiscal year, unlike what happened last year.
A jump to 30,000 isn’t impossible, the Visa Office can always surprise us, but it would take a major shortfall in actual issued visas and a strong push by KCC to accommodate AOS cases. It’s possible, but at this stage, very unlikely.
I have a cn 2025EU297×× . Do i have a chance for interview in the last month ? TIA Embassy,Albania
Albano,
EU297XX is unfortunately unlikely to become current this year, even in the final month. Of course, things can always shift slightly, but given how slow EU has been progressing, the chances for numbers in the high 29,000s are very low at this point.
As for the TIA embassy in Albania, it’s processing interviews normally and efficiently, but the key factor is whether your number becomes current, and based on current data, that seems unlikely this year.