DV Lottery 2025 Update: May Bulletin Analysis & July Predictions

Introduction

Welcome to our DV Lottery 2025 update! The May Visa Bulletin is out. In this post, we explain the official DV rank cut‑offs for May and outline the changes that will take effect in June. We also share our predictions for the July bulletin, so you know exactly what to expect.

Whether you’re anxiously checking your case number or simply tracking the trends, we’ve broken down everything you need to know in clear, straightforward language.

May 2025 DV Lottery Numbers – Official Cut‑Offs

For DV interviews scheduled in May, the official rank cut‑offs are:

• Africa (AF): 35,000 (Exceptions: Algeria 34,500; Egypt 32,500; Morocco 30,000)
• Asia (AS): 6,500 (Exceptions: Iran 6,450; Nepal 6,450)
• Europe (EU): 16,000 (Exceptions: Russia 15,950; Uzbekistan 9,000)
• North America (Bahamas): 20
• Oceania (OC): 1,550
• South America & Caribbean (SA): 2,250

In practical terms, if your DV case number falls below your region’s (or country’s) cut‑off, you should expect to be scheduled for an interview.

June 2025 DV Rank Cut-Offs – What’s Changing?

The May bulletin also sets forth the rank cut‑offs for interviews scheduled in June:

• Africa (AF): 42,500 (Exceptions: Algeria 42,250; Egypt 36,250; Morocco remains at 30,000)
• Asia (AS): 8,250 (Exceptions: Iran 8,000; Nepal 8,000)
• Europe (EU): 17,500 (Exceptions: Russia 17,450; Uzbekistan 10,250)
• North America (Bahamas): 20
• Oceania (OC): 1,550
• South America & Caribbean (SA): 2,300

These updated numbers mean that by June, only DV selectees with rank numbers below these thresholds will be scheduled for an interview. If your number falls in the range between the May and June cut‑offs, your interview might be pushed into the next cycle.

Regional Analysis & July 2025 Predictions

Based on recent trends and current processing dynamics, here’s what each region can expect:

Africa (AF) – A Rapid Clearance

Africa is moving fast. The jump from 35,000 in May to 42,500 in June suggests that almost every selectee with a rank below 42,500 is already getting through the process. In past cycles, such a leap indicates that nearly all pending cases will soon be cleared.

• July Prediction: We expect Africa to be declared fully current by July, meaning nearly all pending African cases will soon receive an interview notification.

Asia (AS) – Gradual Progress Amid High Demand

Asia’s numbers are on the rise but still reflect a heavy load. With the cutoff increasing from 6,500 in May to 8,250 in June, many selectees are now closer to being scheduled. However, ongoing processing challenges in some high-demand areas mean the pace is measured.

• July Prediction: Expect another significant jump in July, pushing the cutoff further into the 15,000–20,000 range. Full current status may take a little longer.

Europe (EU) – Steady Steps Forward

In Europe, the cutoff increased modestly from 16,000 to 17,500. This steady advance means that while many European selectees are already in line, the backlog suggests that full current status may not arrive until later in the cycle.

• July Prediction: Although we expect the cutoff to rise further (perhaps around 18,000), historical trends suggest full current status may not be reached until as late as September.

Oceania (OC) – Small Numbers, Minor Increase

With fewer overall cases, Oceania’s cutoff has remained at 1,550 from May to June. For selectees with case numbers below 1,550, the process is already well advanced.

• July Prediction: A modest increase to around 1,650–1,700 is expected, accommodating nearly all applicants in this region.

South America & Caribbean (SA) – Almost Current

The SA region shows steady progress, with the cutoff moving slightly from 2,250 in May to 2,300 in June. This small change indicates that almost all selectees are very close to being scheduled.

• July Prediction: Expect a further slight increase, with the cutoff potentially reaching 2,400–2,500, nearly achieving full current status.

North America (Bahamas) – Remains Current

Since DV numbers for the Bahamas are very limited, the cutoff remains at 20. This region has always been current.

• July Prediction: No change is expected—Bahamian selectees remain current.

Key Processing Insights

A few important points that help explain the trends:

• Issuance Rates: Regions with higher issuance and fewer backlogs process selectees faster—Africa is a prime example.
• Processing Dynamics: Big jumps in cutoffs suggest that nearly all applicants in that range are ready for scheduling.
• Historical Patterns: Past cycles show that while Africa quickly goes current, Europe may only reach this status later in the cycle, sometimes as late as September.
• Regional Nuances: Oceania and North America see minimal shifts due to lower case volumes.

Regional Case Summary

Here’s a quick snapshot of DV‑2025 processing by region:

*”Highest Issued Case” means the maximum case number among those with issued visas.

Case Status Breakdown

A quick view of overall DV‑2025 processing:

• At Processing Center: Approximately 53,000 cases
• Issued: About 18,500 cases
• Ready: Roughly 15,000 cases
• Refusals: Nearly 1,000 cases plus over 2,200 under additional review
• In Transit: Around 170 cases
• Administrative Processing (AP): Close to 230 cases
• Transferred: Fewer than 30 cases

These figures help explain how rapidly cases are being processed.

Observations & Tips

• Africa: A big jump in the cutoff means nearly all African selectees with numbers below 42,500 will soon receive their interview notice.
• Asia: While the increase is steady, many Asian applicants are still waiting for further movement—keep your documents updated!
• Europe: Although progress is steady, historical patterns suggest Europe may reach full current status later in the cycle, potentially in September.
• Oceania: Expect a small bump to around 1,650–1,700.
• South America & Caribbean: Likely to see a slight rise to roughly 2,400–2,500, nearly reaching full current status.
• North America (Bahamas): Remains current at 20.

Tip: If your DV case number is below your region’s current cutoff, stay prepared—your interview notification might be just around the corner!

Interactive Charts & Trends

The charts below help visualize our latest DV‑2025 data and predictions.

Chart 1: Visas Issued by Region

This bar chart illustrates the number of visas issued per region.

Chart 2: Issuance vs. DV Cut-Offs

Compare issued visa numbers against the official cut‑offs from May and June.

Chart 3: Historical DV Cut-Off Trends (Oct 2024 – May 2025)

This line chart shows how the DV cut‑offs have evolved over the past few months.

Chart 4: Unofficial July DV Predictions

Based on current trends and processing dynamics, here are our projections for the July bulletin:

Looking Ahead

Our analysis indicates that DV processing continues to accelerate. Africa is rapidly clearing its backlog, Asia is making steady progress despite delays, and Europe is gradually catching up—though full current status in Europe may take until later in the cycle, potentially in September.

• Africa: Likely to be fully current by July.
• Asia: Expected to see the cutoff move further into the 15,000–20,000 range before reaching full current status.
• Europe: With steady movement, full current status may not be reached until as late as September.
• Oceania: Predicted to increase modestly to around 1,650–1,700.
• South America & Caribbean: Likely to climb to approximately 2,400–2,500.
• North America (Bahamas): Remains unchanged at 20.

If you’re a DV 2025 selectee, these updates mean your interview could be coming very soon. Stay informed, keep your documents ready, and remember that each month brings you one step closer to your American dream!

Keep the faith and stay prepared—you’re on your way!