DV Visa Bulletin Weekly Update: Trends & Projections – March 2025

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Updated: March 9, 2025

Hello friends! Welcome to this week’s DV Visa Bulletin update. Navigating the DV Lottery process can be both exciting and challenging, and our goal is to provide you with clear, accurate, and detailed insights based on the latest processing data.

Overview

Since our February 2025 update, total cases processed have risen from 162,616 to 165,616—an increase of 3,000 cases. Below, we break down the numbers by region, highlight visa issuance trends, and provide detailed insights into key processing metrics. We also include interactive charts and predictions for upcoming cut-offs.

What’s New Since February?

In our last update, we noted the following February totals:

  • 162,616 cases processed system-wide
  • AF Issued: 6,438 • EU Issued: 7,155 • AS Issued: 2,667
  • At NVC: 51,239 • Issued: 17,977 • Ready: 14,209

Now, as of early March:

  • +3,000 more cases have been processed, bringing the total to 165,616.
  • AF Region: Issuances climbed from 6,438 to 6,938.
  • EU Region: Issuances rose from 7,155 to 7,555, with a small uptick in refusals from 181 to 191.
  • Overall “At NVC” decreased from 51,239 to 53,039, reflecting some new interview scheduling and transitions. (If your case number is below the cut-off, keep an eye out for 2NLs.)

Regional Case Summary

Below is a detailed breakdown of key metrics by region. These metrics include the total number of cases processed, visas issued, the highest issued case, valid 2NL notifications, refusals, and cases in administrative processing.

RegionTotal CasesTotal IssuedHighest Issued Case2NL NotificationsTotal RefusedTotal AP
AF86,7096,93824,9458,476458144
AS29,9182,7675,9822,74119738
EU41,0097,55512,9465,29919142
OC3,8053911,091448802
SA4,1758261,755726796

*Note: “Highest Issued Case” represents the maximum case number among those with issued visas.

Data Source: Latest Processing Data & Official Trends.

Case Status Breakdown

The overall system status is a snapshot of key processing stages across all cases. These figures are dynamically derived from the current data.

  • At NVC: 53,039 cases
  • Issued: 18,477 cases
  • Ready: 14,909 cases
  • Refusals: 1,005 cases plus 2,258 cases under 221g
  • In Transit: 168 cases
  • Administrative Processing (AP): 232 cases
  • Transferred: 28 cases

These aggregates help set expectations for upcoming notifications and overall processing timelines.

Observations & Tips

Key Observations:

  • AF Issuances Up by 500 Since February: A notable jump from 6,438 to 6,938.
  • EU Refusals Slightly Higher: From 181 to 191, though still relatively small.

Tips: If your case number is below the current cut-offs, watch for 2NLs and ensure your documentation is complete. Keep your DS-260 updated, and if you’re nearing the medical exam stage, schedule early to avoid delays.

Interactive Charts & Trends

Explore the charts below to visualize issuance trends, compare current numbers against projected cut-offs, and review historical trends over recent months.

Chart 1: Visas Issued by Region (March 2025)
This chart displays the number of visas issued per region for March 2025.

Chart 2: March Issuance vs. April Cut-Offs
Compare the current issuance with the upcoming threshold levels for April.

Chart 3: Historical Trends (Oct 2024 – Mar 2025)
This line chart highlights how DV cut-off levels have evolved over the past six months.

Chart 4: Predicted May 2025 Cut-Offs (Unofficial)
Based on current trends, these unofficial projections give a glimpse of what the May 2025 cut-offs might be.

Looking Ahead

With 165,616 total cases now processed, we anticipate moderate increases in the April cut-offs. We’ll continue monitoring the pace of new issuances and any policy changes that might affect the DV process. Stay tuned for next week’s update to see if these trends hold steady.

Final Insights & Next Steps

Our detailed review of the processing data shows a steady pace in visa issuance and significant variation across regions. If your case number is below the current cut-offs, you may expect an interview notification soon. We advise you to continue preparing your documentation and maintain up-to-date medical records.

Thank you for following our DV Visa Bulletin update. We are committed to providing you with the most accurate and timely information available. Stay tuned for further updates, and best of luck on your journey to the United States!

Keep the faith and keep moving forward!

Disclaimer:
The information presented on this page is for informational purposes only and is not an official statement or representation by any government agency. The data displayed is derived from internal analysis and is not verified by any official or governmental source. We make no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. Users should independently verify any details before making decisions based on this data. By using this information, you agree that we are not liable for any errors or omissions and that it should not be relied upon as legal or official guidance.

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